2022 College Football Win Total Best Bet: North Carolina State Wolfpack – NCAA CFB Futures Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook
College football season is only a few months away, and with basketball season in the rearview mirror, it’s time to dive into some games in the future market. For this game, we’re going to the ACC with a team that topped last season, and looks like it could do it again.
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2 unit game
The Wolfpack easily erased last season’s win tally of 6.5, finishing at 9-3. This team has really impressed on the defensive side of the ball and should bring back 10 of those 11 starters – 88% of their defensive output. On offense, seven starters will return, but QB Devin Leary is the most important piece and stays put.
Leary threw for nearly 3,500 yards last season, including a 35:5 TD:INT ratio. Two of Leary’s top three receivers will also return, so much of the passing game is intact. The Wolfpack will lose its two best rushers from a season ago, but this production should be able to be taken over by bodies capable of intervening. Ikem Ekonwu is gone and made the top-10 in the NFL Draft, but the rest of the strong offensive line will return to protect Leary.
Let’s remember how good this team was in ACC play in 2021, dropping just two games by a combined four points. The Wolfpack at Clemson in overtime and actually won that game last year.
Conveniently enough, a rematch at Clemson could be the only game NC State finishes as an underdog this season. Let’s start with the easy part – the Wolfpack have seven games in which they will be easily favored (potentially by double digits, but let’s say by at least one touchdown in the seven). This is a great start for our plus.
Of course, we’ll consider Clemson’s spot a loss. Ultimately, I think Clemson’s revenge location could play a part, and the Tigers should win this game. But that spread is currently set at NC State +10, which I would be very interested in.
That leaves us with four “coin flip” games to decide the outcome here. Just split them and make it 2-2 and we should be looking at another 9-3 season here with a win over the top. But to put -150 on an 8.5 over, we have to be pretty sure. I think I’m being generous in calling these games coin flips, though – as I mentioned, I think the Wolfpack should be favored in all four.
Here are the games:
9/17 vs. Texas Tech
11/5 v Wake Forest
11/19 in Louisville
11/25 in North Carolina
I already wrote my first win total, which happens to be a fade on UNC, so you can understand how I feel about this game. Ultimately, I think the Wolfpack will take three of those games, and we’ll be looking at a 10-win season here. All the pieces seem to be in place, especially with elite quarterback play and a veteran defense that we’ve seen succeed.
set of 0.25 units
Given my faith in this team, I think it’s worth sprinkling on extremely long odds for this team to win the ACC. That probably means they have to win at Clemson, but the Tigers could also slip along the way with a lot of changes in that organization and poor QB play. If NC State is indeed a 10-win team, I’m going to kick myself if I don’t have a piece of it.
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All opinions expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and cannot participate in public DFS or DKSB contests.
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